Peko

Credit scoring framework for
Peko lending products

Bank statement analysis + cross-validation via VAT, CT, invoices, and AECB reports

Layered credit scoring model

Every applicant starts at the foundation. If the layers above it confirm what the bank data says, the score goes up. If they contradict it, flags get raised.

Layer 1: Foundation (always required)
Bank statement analysis
Revenue patterns, spend categorisation, working capital, burn rate, cash flow trajectory, anomaly detection
Layer 2: Cross-validation
VAT + CT filings
Revenue cross-check against declared returns. Mismatch >15% = fraud flag. Compliance status confirmation.
Layer 2: Cross-validation
Invoice + AR data
Receivables validation. Client payment history. Contract-backed invoices.
Layer 3
AECB reports
Emirati owners only. Personal credit history.
Layer 3
Trade license + age
Operating history validation
Layer 3
Balance trend
3/6/12 month trajectory
Output
Credit score + product eligibility
0 to 100 score mapped to Postpaid / Flex / Fast qualification

Bank statement analysis

This is the base score. Every applicant goes through this no matter which product they're applying for. CrossVal pulls the following from bank data:

Monthly revenue (money in) patterns
Spend categorisation (rent, payroll, subscriptions)
Working capital position
Cash burn rate and runway
Revenue concentration (single-client dependency)
Month-over-month trajectory
Anomaly detection (capital injections, irregular transfers)
Round-number deposit flags

The analysis works with any amount of data (even one month), but minimum requirements are a policy decision for Peko's finance team. Recommendation: 3 months for Postpaid, 6 months for Flex and Fast.

VAT + CT cross-validation

This is the fraud prevention layer. Compare bank statement revenue against what the business declared on their VAT return. If those numbers are off by more than 15 to 20%, something is wrong. Either they're underreporting to FTA or they're inflating bank activity to look stronger.

CT filings do the same for profitability. Does declared profit on the corporate tax return make sense given the bank data?

VAT certificate cross-checking came up in the Peko call as a way to catch fraud early. This is that mechanism built into the scoring model.

Invoice + AR data

For Fast (invoice financing), this is almost as important as bank statements. You're buying a receivable, so you need to validate: is the invoice real, does the client have a payment track record, is there a contract backing it?

For Postpaid and Flex, invoice data is a bonus. Six months of clean receivables with consistent collection boosts the score but isn't required to qualify.

Enrichment signals

AECB personal credit reports apply to Emirati-owned businesses only. Since Emiratis can legally blend personal assets into their business (property, personal accounts), a clean AECB report boosts the score. Not a gate, a multiplier.

Operating history under 18 months is a flag. Over 3 years is a positive signal. Already used on the DT product.

Bank balance trajectory matters more than the current number. A business sitting on AED 50k but trending down for four months is riskier than one with AED 20k that's been climbing steadily.

Eligibility requirements by product

Different products, different risk. The bar moves accordingly.

Postpaid

30-day credit line on Peko services
Lowest risk, smallest exposure
Min bank data3 months
Positive cash flowRequired
Revenue ≥ 2× credit lineRequired
VAT cross-checkScore boost
Operating history ≥ 18mScore boost
AECB reportOptional
Invoice dataNot needed

Flex

BNPL for business purchases
Medium risk, installment exposure
Min bank data6 months
Positive cash flowRequired
Revenue ≥ 3× facilityRequired
VAT cross-checkRequired
CT filing alignmentScore boost
Operating history ≥ 18mRequired
AECB reportScore boost
Invoice / AR dataScore boost

Fast

Invoice financing, get paid upfront
Highest risk, receivables exposure
Min bank data6 months
Positive cash flowRequired
Revenue ≥ 4× facilityRequired
VAT cross-checkRequired
CT filing alignmentRequired
Operating history ≥ 18mRequired
Invoice history + contractsRequired
Client payment track recordRequired
AECB reportScore boost
Required Must pass to qualify
Score boost Improves terms/limit
Optional Informational only

Score weightings by product (0 to 100 scale)

Weights shift by product because the risk is different. Bank statements do most of the heavy lifting for Postpaid. For Fast, invoice quality matters almost as much as the company's own financials.

Scoring layer Postpaid Flex Fast
Bank statement metrics 70% 50% 35%
Compliance checks (VAT/CT) 20% 30% 25%
Invoice / AR validation - - 25%
Enrichment (AECB, history, trends) 10% 20% 15%

Automatic review triggers

These don't auto-reject anyone. They move the applicant out of instant-approve and into the review queue, where the 15 to 20 minute deeper analysis kicks in.

Bank statement revenue vs VAT declared revenue mismatch > 15%
Operating history under 18 months
Negative cash flow in 3+ of the last 6 months
Revenue concentration > 60% from a single client (critical for Fast)
Sudden balance drops without corresponding business expenses
Missing months in bank data (gaps suggest cherry-picking)

Approval flow

Three tiers based on composite score and flag status. The 75+ threshold maps to the "loose criteria" quick-check path that came up in the Peko call.

75+
Instant approval
Score above 75 with zero hard flags. Applicant gets approved immediately.
50 to 74
In review
Borderline score or soft flags present. Applicant sees an "in review" screen while the deeper 15 to 20 min analysis runs. Gets an email when it's done.
<50
Rejection / escalation
Below 50 or hard flags (VAT mismatch, suspected fraud, missing data). Rejected or escalated to Peko's finance team.